Nate Silver and the crew at are known for their analytic and statistical studies. The latest being a breakdown of the World Cup and the chances the remaining nations have to advance, with the United States having a 1% chance of winning the whole thing.

The probabilities are based on 10,000 simulations and are updated after every match. The USMNT advanced into the round of 16 and have a 43% chance of advancing into the quarter finals, a 13% chance of advancing into the semifinals and 5% chance of being in the finals.